MLB Picks: July 22

Houston @ Chicago
Pick: Houston

* Astros are 4-2 against the Cubs this season, with the last three wins coming at Wrigley.
* Zambrano is horrendous against Right handed batters; the Astros having the most AB's in the league as Right.
* Righties are hitting .187 against Norris; Cubs are also righty heavy. Also, Norris has strong "Day" numbers.
* Great value with Astros as a +140 dog.

Atlanta @ Cincinnati
Pick: Atlanta

* Jurrjens, one of the best pitchers, facing a righty heavy lineup; Jurrjens has sick numbers vs. righties.
* Jurrjens has sick numbers as the "Away" pitcher and "Night" games.
* Bronson Arroyo has been horrendous with a +8 ERA in the past 3 starts and has allowed at least 4 runs in this past 4 outings.
* The clearcut favorite Braves have great value against the Reds in this pitching matchup.

Mets @ Florida
Pick: Mets
* Volstad has a 9.69 ERA in his past 3 starts, and is pitching a 7.28 ERA against lefties; the Mets are lefty heavy and hitting .280 as left.
* Does not get better for Volstad as his ERA at night is 6.26.
* The Mets are 27-23 Away while the Marlins are 22-31 at home (and coming off a sweep by the Padres at home)
* The Mets are 2-3 against the Marlins this year but are 2-1 in Florida, outscoring them 17-12.



Record to Date: 5-3

MLB Picks: July 21

Seattle @ Toronto
Pick: Toronto

* Seattle has lost 11 in a row.
* Ricky Romero is a strong lefty pitcher, with 24 runs allowed in his past 12 starts.
* Seattle is absolutely horrible against lefty pitchers, compounded by the fact they are hitting ~.200 in July and in Day games.
* Toronto one of the best hitting teams in July.

Milwaukee @ Arizona
Pick: Arizona

* Kennedy is favored against right-handed batters: MIL is righty heavy, with one full-time lefty in Prince Fielder.
* Greinke is absolutely horrible against lefties, which should play into the Dbacks' advantage.
* In addition, Greinke's ERA away from home is above 6.00.

Record to date: 3-2

EDIT:

New York @ Tampa Bay
Pick: New York
* C.C. Sabathia is killer on the road with a 2.21 ERA and in July with a 0.38 ERA.
* Lefties against C.C. are hitting .187 with a WHIP of 0.88; Tampa has 61% left handed AB's compared to just 39% right handed.
* Shields has dropped his last three games.

MLB Picks: July 20

Boston at Baltimore
Pick: Boston
* Looking for a bounceback win against the lowly Orioles.
* Boston is hitting extremely well against Arrieta.
* Miller has allowed 3 or less runs in 4 of 5 starts (including a start against the O's)

LA Dodgers at San Francisco
Pick: OVER 5 runs
* Lincecum is average at home, with an ERA above 3.00.
* Kershaw is worse on the road, with an ERA above 4.00.
* The last 8 of 11 games this season, they have gone OVER.

Seattle at Toronto
Pick: Toronto on the -1.5 run line.
* Toronto has won in Morrow's 6 past starts, each team above .500.
* Morrow is a dominant pitcher, with at least 1 K per inning, facing the worst offense in the league.
* Vargas, LHP, will be starting, which Toronto has been strong against lefties.

Record to date: 1-1

MLB Picks: July 19

Seattle @ Toronto
Pick: Toronto


* Seattle is one of the worst teams against LHP.
* Seattle is averaging less than 2 runs per game in July.
* Pineda is a young pitcher, wearing down (as shown in his last few starts) while Cecil is coming off a strong start.
* Jays are one of the top two batting teams in July.
* Seattle has lost 9 in a row and are 18-25 on the road.

Current record: 0-1

MLB Picks: July 18

Cleveland @ Minnesota
Pick: Minnesota

* Cleveland sends a new pitcher to the mound, with a career ERA of 5.91.
* Minnesota is one of the hottest teams: batting .288 in July (2nd)
* Minnesota is 5-1 against the Indians this year, outscoring them 14 to 3 runs at home.
* Minnesota is 19-12 at home.



Record to date: 0-0